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claude-sonnet-4-6 Analysis · Feb 15, 2026

Safe
MEDIUM RISK
claude-sonnet-4-6
80% confidence

AI Consensus

Safe
Medium Risk
11 of 18 models agree
Full consensus breakdown
Summary

February 15 starts cold (26°F) with partly sunny skies and near-freezing temperatures through the morning, posing a black ice risk on untreated roads. Conditions deteriorate significantly after 8–9 PM as snow becomes likely, with 1–2 inches of accumulation possible overnight at temperatures near 32–33°F.

Hourly Forecast
6 AM 0% 0 mph
7 AM 0% 1 mph
8 AM 2% 1 mph
9 AM 2% 1 mph
10 AM 2% 2 mph
11 AM 2% 2 mph
12 PM 2% 3 mph
1 PM 6% 5 mph
2 PM 6% 6 mph
3 PM 7% 6 mph
4 PM 8% 5 mph
5 PM 9% 3 mph
6 PM 10% 3 mph
7 PM 8% 3 mph
8 PM 23% 3 mph
9 PM 41% 3 mph
10 PM 73% 3 mph
11 PM 66% 3 mph
Key Factors
Confidence
80%
Recommendation

For morning driving, the safest window is between 10:00 AM and 12:00 PM, after temperatures have risen above freezing (37–39°F) and any overnight frost or black ice has had a chance to dissipate — allow extra time and caution on shaded roads before 10 AM. For evening driving, complete any trips by 7:00 PM to 7:30 PM at the latest, before snow probability climbs steeply after 8 PM. Avoid driving after 9 PM as snow becomes likely and roads may quickly become slippery with 1–2 inches of accumulation expected overnight.

Forecast source: National Weather Service