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gpt-5.1 Analysis · Jul 18, 2026

Unsafe
HIGH RISK
gpt-5.1
82% confidence

AI Consensus

Unsafe
High Risk
26 of 27 models agree
Full consensus breakdown
Summary

Driving conditions today are hazardous due to multiple rounds of heavy showers and thunderstorms, some potentially severe, with a Flood Watch in effect and smoke reducing air quality and likely visibility at times. Flash flooding and torrential downpours are possible from late morning through late tonight.

Hourly Forecast
7 AM 15% 5 mph
8 AM 49% 5 mph
9 AM 59% 6 mph
10 AM 64% 7 mph
11 AM 87% 8 mph
12 PM 92% 9 mph
1 PM 92% 10 mph
2 PM 93% 12 mph
3 PM 93% 12 mph
4 PM 91% 12 mph
5 PM 90% 12 mph
6 PM 87% 10 mph
7 PM 84% 10 mph
8 PM 69% 10 mph
9 PM 66% 10 mph
10 PM 66% 9 mph
11 PM 55% 9 mph
Key Factors
Confidence
82%
Recommendation

If you must drive today, avoid travel during the Flood Watch’s most active storm period (roughly 10:00 AM through at least early evening) and any time heavy rain or thunderstorms are occurring on your route. The relatively safer morning window is around 7:00–9:00 AM, before the Flood Watch begins and before storms fully intensify, though showers and smoke are still possible. The relatively safer evening window is roughly 10:00–11:00 PM, when thunderstorm probabilities begin to decrease somewhat, but showers and thunderstorms are still likely and flooding could still be an issue; postpone non‑essential trips to another day if possible.

Forecast source: National Weather Service