Op
gpt-5.4-nano Benchmark & Insights
OpenAI OpenAI API
Updated Jul 31, 2026 All models
Sample size
172 runs
in window
Accuracy
44.4%
consensus match · 178d
Confidence
70%
over 182 runs
Window end
Jul 31, 2026
most recent run
Input price
$0.20/MTok
prompt tokens
Output price
$1.25/MTok
completion tokens
Model insights
- 01 Last place and the most extreme pessimist in the set: 146 upward misses, none downward, and forty-nine "high" calls against a consensus that saw ten.
- 02 It disagrees with the panel more often than it agrees, so however cheap it is, its output carries no signal.
Recent forecasts
Date
Conf.
Risk
Safe
Aug 10, 2026
72%
high
Unsafe
Aug 9, 2026
72%
medium
Unsafe
Aug 8, 2026
72%
medium
Safe
Aug 7, 2026
78%
high
Unsafe
Aug 6, 2026
68%
high
Unsafe
Aug 5, 2026
62%
medium
Safe
Aug 4, 2026
74%
low
Safe
Aug 3, 2026
74%
high
Unsafe
Aug 2, 2026
72%
medium
Safe
Aug 1, 2026
72%
medium
Safe